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Billy Duberstein, The Motley Fool
Sun, Apr 6, 2025, 9:30 AM 4 min read
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Shares of integer advertizing up-and-comer Applovin (NASDAQ: APP) plunged 18.2% successful March, according to information from S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Applovin already had a unsmooth February, erstwhile it was deed by 2 short-seller reports. And portion the full exertion assemblage had a unsmooth March arsenic well, Applovin had different particularly atrocious month, arsenic it was deed by -- you guessed it -- a 3rd short-seller report.
On March 27, a short-selling hedge money manager nether the sanction Muddy Waters published a abbreviated study against Applovin.
According to Muddy Waters, Applovin's caller integer advertizing motor engages successful a fig of irreputable tactics successful bid to marque its integer advertizing gross look amended than it different would be. Muddy Waters concluded Applovin's bundle fundamentally scraped idiosyncratic IDs and information from different societal media platforms successful bid to find high-value targets, which Muddy Waters claims is simply a usurpation of app store rules. The hedge money past went connected to impeach Applovin of utilizing "retargeting" methods that boost advertisement income comparative to existent demand.
All successful all, Muddy Waters thinks that Applovin's caller e-commerce advertisers are lone seeing 25% to 35% "incremental" request to their existing societal media advertising, whereas Applovin's absorption claimed that the incrementality of spending connected its mobile games level was much similar 100%.
Muddy Waters' claims reflector those of short-seller firms Fuzzy Panda and Culper Research, which collaborated successful a abbreviated study against the institution successful February. And similar those short-sellers, Muddy Waters believes Applovin's bundle should beryllium "deplatformed" from the large app stores, fixed that these accusations would magnitude to a usurpation of the app stores' privateness policy.
In addition, markets were roiled by fears implicit the tariff policies coming retired of the White House. Those fears turned retired to beryllium correct, with the Trump administrations' tariff policies unveiled April 2 being importantly worse than was contemplated, adjacent by marketplace skeptics. During the month, the full exertion assemblage plunged, particularly integer advertisers. So, the incremental short-seller study lone added to the downbeat temper for Applovin.
It should beryllium noted that short-sellers person an evident inducement to "muddy the water" truthful to speak, to reap fear, uncertainty, and uncertainty successful their people companies. Moreover, stocks that person gone up a batch successful a abbreviated magnitude of clip whitethorn besides beryllium particularly bully targets.