What to expect from the Trump-Putin call on Ukraine war

President Donald Trump announced connected Sunday that helium volition apt beryllium speaking with Russian President Vladimir Putin connected Tuesday. Putin’s spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, and the White House person since confirmed the call.

Trump is anxious to fulfill his run committedness by making a woody with Putin to extremity the warfare successful Ukraine, which helium has called a "bloodbath."

Here's what to expect and what not to expect from their conversation.

Both Trump and Putin volition apt stay cordial and respectful to each other, continuing to showcase their skills and talents successful diplomacy. Unlike erstwhile President Biden and his VP Kamala Harris, who often got exasperated by Putin’s recalcitrance, calling him a "killer," Trump does not insult Putin. The maestro of the Art of the Deal knows however to creation the waltz of diplomacy. 

PUTIN IN NO RUSH TO FOLLOW 'TRUMP TIME' CEASEFIRE PROPOSAL

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, left, President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin

Underneath the facade, neither Trump nor Putin spot each other. Smiles and affirmative gestures notwithstanding, successful his archetypal term, Trump pursued the astir forceful anti-Russia argumentation since Ronald Reagan. He authorized lethal assistance to Ukraine, sanctioned the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, booted retired Russian spies who operated retired of its embassy posing arsenic diplomats, and unopen down 3 Russian facilities successful the U.S. that efficaciously served arsenic espionage operating bases targeting the homeland. Trump besides took respective measures to mitigate Russia’s quality to exploit vulnerabilities successful America’s mode of war, which is highly reliant connected technology.

In turn, Putin views Trump arsenic an highly hard and worthy opponent, idiosyncratic who is unpredictable and hard to manipulate the mode the Russian dictator played erstwhile presidents: Bush, Obama and Biden. In 2017, erstwhile asked by a writer if helium was disappointed successful Trump aft the closure of Russian diplomatic facilities successful New York, Washington and San Francisco, Putin called the question "naïve." The erstwhile KGB operative said Trump is "not my bride, and I’m not his groom." 

Russian President Vladimir Putin delivers his code to the federation successful Moscow connected March 23, 2024. (Mikhail Metzel/Pool/AFP via Getty Images)

In 2018, aft the acme successful Helsinki, Putin mocked the thought that Trump trusted him: "You can’t spot anyone. Where did you get the thought that Trump trusts maine and I afloat spot him?" Putin told journalists. "He [Trump] defends the interests of the USA, and I of Russia."

Indeed, feelings and emotions are simply not portion of the statecraft that superior and beardown heads of authorities usage erstwhile dealing with each other, particularly erstwhile it comes to Russia and the United States, some of which see themselves exceptional large powers.

When it comes to the substantive broadside of the Trump-Putin woody connected Ukraine, determination volition beryllium nary breakthrough connected Tuesday. But some sides volition apt study affirmative advancement with nary circumstantial details.

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President Donald Trump (Donald Trump 2024 campaign)

The 30-day ceasefire woody is unachievable. Putin is highly improbable to beryllium compelled to judge a ceasefire due to the fact that helium is prepared to combat until the bitter end.

As President Trump precocious admitted, Putin "holds each the cards." Washington could and apt volition use adjacent much terrible economical unit connected Moscow, arsenic U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett precocious suggested. Hassett claimed that there’s "a heck of a batch of things" that Trump is acceptable to usage arsenic portion of his "carrots oregon sticks" strategy to unit Putin.

But the Russians judge Team Trump are bluffing, suggesting that it’s excessively risky to play the cards involving planetary economical ramifications. The Russians deliberation much assertive sanctions against Russia’s vigor assemblage would backfire, resulting successful adjacent higher prices here. Regardless, Moscow believes it tin upwind sanctions, arsenic it has done frankincense far. Indeed, nary economical sanctions person changed Putin’s behaviour successful the past decade.

The aftermath of a mortar onslaught successful Makariv, eastbound of Kyiv, successful Ukraine (National Police of Ukraine)

President Trump apt senses that a woody with Putin is harder to marque than helium thought. By making it his run promise, Trump might person boxed himself into an unachievable timeframe, giving Putin leverage. Trump’s Russia advisers should person laid retired intelligibly for the commandant successful main the complexity of the Russia-Ukraine contented that Washington had stepped into by pushing Ukraine into NATO successful the archetypal place.

The Russian media is praising Putin’s "six words" connection to an "impatient" Trump (My za mir, nary est’ nyuansy, successful the Russian language), referring to Putin’s caller televised connection successful which helium claimed that Russia is for peace, but "there are nuances." On Sunday, Trump claimed that helium was "being a small spot sarcastic" erstwhile helium promised connected the run way to extremity the Russia-Ukraine warfare successful 24 hours.

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On Sunday night, speaking with journalists connected Air Force One, Trump sounded much realistic and clear-eyed.

"We privation to spot if we tin bring that warfare to an end," helium said. "Maybe we can, possibly we can't, but I deliberation we person a precise bully chance."

If the commandant successful main realizes that Putin is stringing him along, helium volition cancel the telephone and locomotion away. Letting Putin stew mightiness soften him up, prompting a comeback if the Russians truly privation peace. The messiness that President Trump inherited from Biden and the Europeans volition astir surely not beryllium resolved successful a telephone call, if astatine all.

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