Want to Buy the Dip on SoFi Stock? Here's 1 Risk You Need to Know About.

2 months ago 25

Neil Patel, The Motley Fool

Tue, Apr 15, 2025, 3:45 AM 4 min read

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Shares of SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) had a phenomenal two-year run. In the 24-month play from the commencement of 2023 to the extremity of 2024, they soared 234%. But things person cooled successful caller months, with volatility inactive present.

As of this penning (April 10), SoFi shares are trading 59% disconnected their highest from February 2021. This is contempt the concern registering coagulated maturation and profitability. If the dip is enticing you to bargain this fintech stock, though, see 1 important hazard first.

SoFi was founded successful 2011 to assistance students wage for their education. This was reflected successful the company's lending activities. In 2018, 2019, and 2020, SoFi originated $18.1 cardinal full successful pupil loans. This was a cardinal concern driver.

In aboriginal 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic hit. To easiness the accent connected borrowers, the Department of Education temporarily paused payments and eliminated interest. Consequently, determination was little of a request for radical to refinance their loans to get a little involvement rate.

This radically altered SoFi's lending activities. In the past 4 years, the institution originated conscionable $12.9 cardinal successful pupil loans. This is importantly little than the $46.6 cardinal of idiosyncratic loans it approved during the aforesaid time. Even though the pupil indebtedness intermission ended successful September 2023, arsenic of Dec. 31, SoFi had $16.6 cardinal successful unpaid main connected idiosyncratic loans, treble that of pupil loans.

Personal loans tin beryllium utilized for galore things, similar indebtedness consolidation, location repairs, vacations, weddings, oregon aesculapian expenses. The mean coupon complaint SoFi earns from its idiosyncratic loans is 13.4%, dramatically higher than the 5.9% for pupil loans. Personal loans are riskier for SoFi's balance sheet, arsenic the higher involvement complaint prices successful a reduced accidental the borrower volition wage backmost successful full.

This is simply a imaginable origin for interest for SoFi's absorption squad and shareholders. The U.S. is presently successful a precise uncertain economical environment. Besides the ongoing tariff announcements, consumer confidence is tanking. And fears astir a recession are swirling.

If macro conditions deteriorate, past there's a accidental much borrowers volition miss their payments. This could effect successful higher losses for SoFi.

But absorption remains optimistic. "Our idiosyncratic indebtedness borrowers person a weighted mean income of $158,000 and a weighted mean FICO people of 744," CFO Chris Lapointe said connected the Q4 2024 net call. Regardless of these information points, if the system worsens, it could spell trouble. The information that there's beardown request for idiosyncratic lending successful the archetypal spot mightiness item mounting fiscal troubles for consumers.


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