'The bull market is dead': What investing pros are saying after a historic 2-day stock market crash

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Jennifer Sor

Sat, Apr 5, 2025, 9:30 AM 4 min read

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Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BI

The commercialized warfare crushed stocks this week.

The marketplace endured its worst week since 2020, with the S&P 500 losing astir 7% implicit the past 5 trading days, portion the Nasdaq 100 slipped into carnivore marketplace territory for the archetypal clip since 2022.

Here's what the pros are saying astir the diminution — and what could beryllium coming next.

Photo collage of recession related imagery

Bet_Noire/Getty, Jim Lin/Getty, SusanWoodImages/Getty, Tyler Le/BI

Tariffs look to person pushed the US system adjacent person to a downturn, according to John Hussman, the president of Hussman Investment Trust.

Hussman said his firm's recession gauge, called the Hussman Recession Warning Composite, flashed a affirmative awesome connected April 1, the time earlier Trump unveiled his "Liberation Day" tariffs to the world.

That signal, successful operation with different signs of a weakening economy, is making the lawsuit that a downturn is coming, helium said.

Hussman Recession Warning Composite

The Hussman Recession Warning Composite turned affirmative connected April 1.Hussman Funds

"Wednesday's tariff announcement lone amplifies recession risks that person been processing for months," Hussman wrote successful a enactment to clients.

JPMorgan told clients it raised its hazard of a coming recession to 60%, up from its anterior estimation of 40%.

"Disruptive US policies person been recognized arsenic the biggest hazard to the planetary outlook each year," the slope wrote successful a enactment connected Friday. "We frankincense stress that these policies, if sustained, would apt propulsion the US and perchance planetary system into recession this year," it aboriginal added.

"The Trump administration's actions this week person the imaginable not lone to extremity the US into a recession, but to devastate the planetary economy," Emily Bowersock Hill, the CEO of Bockersock Capital Partners, wrote successful a note. "Other countries, including China, are already opening to retaliate against US tariffs, and that retaliation volition dilatory planetary growth."

Jerome Powell

Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

The Fed could respond to economical weakness by cutting involvement rates adjacent faster than markets anticipated, according to Jason Pride, the main of concern strategy astatine Glenmede. Four to 5 complaint cuts are present looking to beryllium the "new baseline for 2025," helium wrote successful a enactment connected Friday.

"It's overmuch excessively soon to spot immoderate downstream impacts from commercialized argumentation successful the jobs marketplace and the Fed is improbable to hold for that benignant of grounds earlier adjusting its thought process connected the due stance of monetary policy," Pride added.


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