Sky vs Mercury betting preview: Why the over 166.5 looks like the play in this WNBA matchup

The WNBA play has been successful league for astir a week, truthful it is acold excessively aboriginal to marque assumptions astir teams. That doesn’t mean we won’t marque them; it's conscionable excessively aboriginal to truly judge it. I mislaid my archetypal WNBA stake this season, truthful I’m hoping to avenge that nonaccomplishment present arsenic the Sky instrumentality connected the Mercury.

The Chicago Sky are 1 of the astir poorly tally franchises successful basketball. They person had immoderate large names connected their squad and lone 1 title to amusement for it.

Phoenix Mercury guardant DeWanna Bonner shoots implicit Indiana Fever defender Aerial Powers successful the archetypal fractional astatine PHX Arena. (Rick Scuteri/Imagn Images)

There truly isn’t a wide denotation of what is incorrect with the franchise, but they’ve ne'er been capable to clasp their talent. Aside from Kamilla Cardoso, I can’t sanction a subordinate connected this squad that they’ve really drafted. They conscionable look to get bully players and past amusement them the door.

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Even though they've had questionable beforehand bureau decisions, they look to person enactment unneurotic a coagulated squad for this play – thing I didn’t expect earlier the play started.

They are 2-0, which is excessively aboriginal to truly accidental they are a bully team. I besides privation to reserve judgement until they look a squad with a longer past than past year. The Portland Tempo played their first-ever crippled against the Sky, and Golden State was bully past year, but inactive is successful conscionable their 2nd play of existence.

The Phoenix Mercury are really considered 1 of the champion franchises successful the league. I’m definite determination are issues that radical person reported, but for the astir part, they person bully facilities, and radical privation to play for their team. They made it each the mode to the WNBA Finals past play earlier falling to the Las Vegas Aces. This year, they are looking to restart that travel and spot if they tin triumph the past crippled of the year.

Phoenix Mercury defender Kahleah Copper dribbles the shot successful the 2nd fractional astatine CareFirst Arena successful Washington, D.C., connected July 27, 2025. (Emily Faith Morgan-Imagn Images)

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It volition request to travel with immoderate amended play than they’ve shown done 3 games this year. They are conscionable 1-2 for the twelvemonth with a 0-1 location record. The lone triumph was a blowout triumph implicit the Aces (a wide revenge crippled if we’ve ever seen one). Then they mislaid the adjacent 2 games against Golden State and Minnesota. Losing to the Lynx wouldn’t beryllium a problem, but they didn’t person Napheesa Collier, who inactive has an ankle injury.

I expect the Mercury to marque immoderate adjustments for this game. They haven’t looked precise crisp to statesman the year, but they’ve been beardown connected offense, averaging 87 points per game.

The Sky are going to support relying connected their discourtesy to bash conscionable capable and their defence to fastener in. The Sky bash person an borderline connected the interior, truthful they tin get buckets reasonably easy down low. I similar the implicit 166.5 successful this game.

Chicago Sky defender Skylar Diggins chases the shot during the 4th fourth against the Golden State Valkyries astatine Chase Center successful San Francisco, Calif., connected May 13, 2026. (Bob Kupbens/Imagn Images)

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I besides deliberation it is worthy betting connected Kahleah Copper to spell implicit her constituent total. Copper had 2 unsmooth games earlier she broke retired successful the past game. Now she has the aforesaid show lines and tin onslaught the bigs from the Sky with her athleticism. Since going to Phoenix, she has scored 29, 7, 16, 25 and 28 points successful 5 games against them.

For much sports betting accusation and plays, travel David connected X/Twitter: @futureprez2024