Austin Smith
Tue, March 10, 2026 astatine 12:39 PM CDT 4 min read
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Prospect Capital (PSEC) trades astir $2.75 with a 9% output and $0.54 yearly distribution. Net concern income of $0.19 per stock covers quarterly distributions of $0.135, but the banal fell 25.64% implicit the past year. NAV declined from $7.25 to $6.21 per stock crossed 4 quarters, portion realized losses totaled $449.8M successful the past 2 quarters.
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Persistent superior erosion from realized concern losses and quarterly NAV declines endanger Prospect Capital’s quality to prolong its 9% organisation without aboriginal cuts, contempt capable near-term NII coverage.
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Prospect Capital (NASDAQ:PSEC) is simply a concern improvement institution that lends to middle-market businesses, collecting involvement income and passing astir of it to shareholders arsenic monthly distributions. The output looks compelling, but retirees evaluating this arsenic a halfway income holding request a hard look astatine what is really backing those payments.
| Annual Distribution | $0.54 per share |
| Dividend Yield (approx.) | ~9% astatine existent price |
| Monthly Distribution | $0.045 per share |
| Consecutive Years of Payments | 22 years |
| Most Recent Cut | 25% cut, November 2024 |
| Dividend Aristocrat Status | No |
For BDCs, nett concern income per stock is the close sum metric, not GAAP earnings. On that basis, the numbers look adequate. In the 4th ended December 31, 2025, NII came successful astatine $0.19 per share, good supra the $0.135 per stock successful quarterly distributions. That is existent sum with margin.
| NII Per Share (Q2 FY2026) | $0.19 | Covers distributions |
| Quarterly Distribution Per Share | $0.135 | Covered by NII |
| GAAP EPS (Q2 FY2026) | -$0.01 | Negative owed to realized losses |
| Earnings Payout Ratio (GAAP basis) | 114.9% | Concerning |
Beneath the NII line, Prospect has generated $141.3 cardinal successful nett realized concern losses successful Q2 FY2026 alone, pursuing $308.5 cardinal successful realized losses successful Q4 FY2025. These are not insubstantial marks. They are imperishable superior losses eroding the plus basal that funds aboriginal income.
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| Q3 FY2025 | $7.25 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $6.56 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $6.45 |
| Q2 FY2026 | $6.21 |
NAV has fallen each 4th successful this dataset. That is not volatility. That is simply a trend. A shrinking plus basal puts the income watercourse astatine hazard implicit time, and distributions whitethorn see instrumentality of superior alternatively than earned income. The $300 cardinal enslaved maturity successful November 2026 adds near-term refinancing unit absorption volition request to navigate carefully.

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