Ray Dalio Says Don't Make The Mistake Of Thinking What's Happening Now Is Due To Trump Tariffs

1 week ago 10

Shomik Sen Bhattacharjee

Wed, Apr 9, 2025, 6:30 PM 3 min read

Ray Dalio, laminitis of Bridgewater Associates and an influential dependable among investors, has delivered a sobering connection wherever helium states that United States citizens are not conscionable dealing with commercialized skirmishes but watching the slow-motion illness of the planetary strategy arsenic we cognize it.

What Happened: In a elaborate nationalist post, Dalio criticized the media and marketplace obsession with President Trump's tariffs, arguing that they are simply "a symptom, not the cause" of the turmoil. "Don't marque the mistake of reasoning that what's present happening is mostly astir tariffs," helium warned.

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Dalio outlines what helium sees arsenic 5 converging crises:

Monetary and Economic Breakdown: U.S. indebtedness present exceeds $36 trillion and continues to balloon. Dalio calls the U.S.-China economical narration an "incongruous” debtor-creditor addiction cycle, driven by deglobalization and dangerously unsustainable borrowing.
Domestic Political Unraveling: He sees a deepening rift betwixt the acold near and acold right. "Compromise is present viewed arsenic weakness," helium noted, echoing information from Pew Research that shows 85% of Americans judge governmental struggle is worsening.
Geopolitical Realignment: The aged U.S.-led satellite bid is breaking apart. Trump's "America First" strategy, from tariffs to tech bans, signals a displacement to a "power-rules approach." Dalio connects this to humanities cycles successful which emerging powers situation incumbents — China, successful this case, whose GDP (PPP) overtook the U.S. successful 2024, per IMF data.
Climate Instability: Floods, droughts, and pandemics are nary longer one-off events—they’re systemic shocks that further erode fragile governmental and fiscal systems.
Technological Disruption: AI is accelerating everything — from geopolitical arms races to labour marketplace dislocation. "This is not concern arsenic usual," Dalio warned.

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Why It Matters: Dalio suggests that policymakers halt reacting to headlines and commencement studying the past. "What's happening present resembles the debt-default cycles of the 1930s and the stagflation chaos of the 1970s," helium wrote.