Our Tesla Price Target Is $349 but the Risk Reward Cuts Both Ways Right Now

1 hour ago 2

Vandita Jadeja

Mon, April 6, 2026 astatine 11:51 AM CDT 5 min read

  • Tesla (TSLA) shares fell 19.82% year-to-date to $360.59 arsenic Q4 2025 gross dropped 3.14% YoY to $24.9B portion nett income collapsed 63.7% YoY to $840M, though the vigor conception posted grounds deployments of 14.2 GWh with 25% YoY maturation and FSD subscriptions grew 38% YoY to 1.1 million.

  • Tesla’s valuation astatine 356x P/E leaves minimal borderline for error, with 24/7 Wall St. mounting a $349.79 terms people and clasp standing arsenic upcoming Robotaxi enlargement to 7 U.S. cities successful H1 2026 and planned Optimus measurement accumulation earlier year-end correspond cardinal catalysts, portion European income weakness tied to CEO Elon Musk’s governmental illustration threatens near-term momentum.

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Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has shed astir 20% year-to-date successful 2026 and sits astir 28% beneath its December 2025 peak. Our exemplary weighs successful connected whether this is simply a buying accidental oregon a motion of deeper structural problems.

Metric

Value

Current Price

$360.59

24/7 Wall St. Price Target

$349.79

Upside/Downside

-2.99%

Recommendation

HOLD

Confidence Level

90%

Our terms people is $349.79, implying Tesla trades astatine a humble premium to just value. Our proposal is clasp astatine a assurance level of 90%. Tesla is adjacent just value, with meaningful catalysts that could propulsion it successful either absorption implicit the adjacent 12 months. Our $349.79 people sits modestly beneath existent levels, but important upside could look from the Optimus robotics programme oregon Robotaxi rollout. Consider this 1 datapoint among many.

Tesla Cybercab

Wikipedia

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Tesla shares are down 19.82% year-to-date, falling from $449.72 astatine the commencement of 2026 to $360.59 arsenic of April 2, with a 5.42% driblet connected the astir caller trading day. The 52-week scope spans $214.25 to $498.83, and Tesla trades 16% beneath its 52-week high.

Q4 2025 net bespeak the pressure. Tesla posted non-GAAP EPS of $0.50 against an estimation of $0.47, a 6.38% beat. Revenue of $24.9 cardinal edged supra estimates but fell 3.14% year-over-year.

Vehicle deliveries dropped 16% YoY to 418,227 units portion nett income fell 63.7% YoY to $840 million, partially owed to a $307 cardinal integer assets nonaccomplishment and $162 cardinal successful restructuring charges. The vigor conception was the agleam spot, with grounds deployments of 14.2 GWh and gross maturation of 25% YoY.

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