Netflix's Content Performing Well Worldwide, Analyst Remains Bullish On 2025 Content & Key Releases

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Lekha Gupta

Mon, Mar 24, 2025, 10:31 AM 3 min read

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Netflix's Content Performing Well Worldwide, Analyst Remains Bullish On 2025 Content & Key Releases

Netflix's Content Performing Well Worldwide, Analyst Remains Bullish On 2025 Content & Key Releases

J.P. Morgan expert Doug Anmuth reiterated an Overweight standing connected Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) with a terms forecast of $1,150.

The expert writes that the company’s shares are outperforming the SPX, acknowledgment to 2025 gross maturation outlook of 12% to 14% (reported) and 14% to 17% (FX-neutral), beardown contented slate, and enactment presumption successful the streaming platform.

Read: Netflix To Launch First MMO Video Game: Is It The Streaming Company’s Biggest Gaming Bet Yet?

Anmuth antecedently noted that Netflix is well-positioned to withstand macroeconomic challenges connected beardown idiosyncratic engagement (around 2 hours per household per day) on with its affordability and precocious amusement value.

He besides emphasized that the low-cost ad-supported tier ($7.99/month successful the U.S.) enhances accessibility, making the work appealing to a wide audience.

The expert says that with Netflix nary longer reporting subscriber figures, marketplace attraction is expected to displacement toward gross growth, with projections appearing tenable up of first-quarter net successful April.

Anmuth projects gross enlargement successful 2025 connected precocious engagement, integrated subscriber gains, and ARM assistance pursuing caller terms adjustments successful the U.S. and U.K., which could make implicit $2 cardinal successful further yearly revenue.

Furthermore, the weaker U.S. dollar since fourth-quarter net whitethorn lend astir ~140bps to revenue, with ~75%-80% expected to payment operating income, adds the analyst.

Also, the expert expects the thoroughfare to absorption connected Netflix's advertizing sector, arsenic Netflix Ads Suite is acceptable to motorboat successful the U.S. successful April.

Additionally, the expert anticipates an updated disclosure connected ad-tier monthly progressive users (MAUs), apt exceeding 100 million, on with the enlargement of first-party advertisement exertion into planetary markets and confirmation of a 2nd NFL Christmas Day crippled this year.

Going forward, Anmuth estimates Ad Tier subs to beryllium 60 million+ by the extremity of 2025 and Advertising gross (ex-subscription) to beryllium $3.2 cardinal successful 2025 (vs. $1.4 cardinal successful 2024).

Also, the expert remains optimistic astir Netflix's 2025 contented lineup, highlighting cardinal releases specified arsenic The Residence, Harlan Coben's Caught, Devil May Cry, The Clubhouse: A Year with the Red Sox, Black Mirror Season 7, and You Season 5.

Investors tin summation vulnerability to the banal via T-Rex 2X Long NFLX Daily Target ETF (BATS:NFLU) and First Trust DJ Internet Index Fund (NYSE:FDN).

Price Action: NFLX shares are up 0.83% astatine $968.28 astatine the past cheque Monday.

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