Ricardo Pillai
Sat, June 13, 2026 astatine 8:40 AM CDT 3 min read
Is SNDK a bully banal to buy? We came crossed a bullish thesis on Sandisk Corporation connected Kumquat Research's Substack. In this article, we volition summarize the bulls' thesis connected SNDK. Sandisk Corporation's stock was trading astatine $1,642.00 arsenic of June 8th. SNDK's trailing and guardant P/E were 60.14 and 27.17 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
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Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) is emerging arsenic 1 of the strongest beneficiaries of the ongoing NAND flash representation shortage driven by accelerating AI information halfway request and constrained manufacture supply. The institution operates arsenic a pure-play NAND shaper done its long-standing associated task with Kioxia, wherever some companies stock production, R&D, and superior expenditures for NAND fabs successful Japan. This operation allows Sandisk to vie efficaciously against larger players specified arsenic Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron portion controlling astir 15% of the planetary NAND market.
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The concern thesis has strengthened dramatically arsenic NAND pricing surged pursuing years of underinvestment and disciplined proviso maturation crossed the representation industry. Sandisk's fiscal show has inflected sharply, with fiscal Q3 2026 gross rising 251% year-over-year to $5.95 billion, gross margins expanding to 78.4%, and non-GAAP net reaching $23.41 per share, compared to a nonaccomplishment conscionable a twelvemonth earlier.
Management's Q4 guidance implies astir $5 cardinal successful quarterly nett income, highlighting the magnitude of the existent upcycle. Importantly, large representation manufacturers are prioritizing high-margin HBM and precocious DRAM accumulation for AI workloads alternatively than expanding NAND capacity, creating a prolonged supply-demand imbalance successful NAND that could persist for years.
With minimal caller greenfield NAND investments planned crossed the industry, Sandisk stands retired arsenic the lone meaningful pure-play NAND accidental positioned to capitalize connected sustained pricing strength, rising SSD demand, and continued AI infrastructure expansion, creating a compelling bullish setup contempt the sector's historically elevated volatility.
Previously, we covered a bullish thesis connected Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) by fortitudelkw successful January 2025, which highlighted the company's positioning arsenic a large beneficiary of AI-driven unreality retention request done its HAMR exertion and expanding high-capacity HDD offerings. STX's banal terms has appreciated by astir 710.47% since our coverage. Kumquat Research shares a akin presumption but emphasizes connected Sandisk Corporation's (SNDK) pure-play NAND vulnerability and tightening manufacture proviso dynamics.

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