Rocky White
Wed, Mar 12, 2025, 5:00 AM 2 min read
Last week, I covered the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and its 5% declines. Yesterday, that pullback deepened to 10%, officially entering correction territory. In my erstwhile article, I included information connected however the scale historically performed aft specified declines. This week, my absorption shifts to the Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC), which has been successful correction territory since past week. Unlike the S&P 500, the Nasdaq is much volatile and tech-heavy, containing astir 3,000 stocks compared to the S&P’s 500.
Historical information suggests that IXIC corrections person often been buying opportunities. After a 10% pullback, the scale has averaged a 3% summation implicit the adjacent month, with 78% of returns affirmative -- acold amended than its emblematic 1.1% summation and 63% positivity complaint for the aforesaid timeframe since 1990.
The existent saccharine spot comes 3 to six months aft a correction signal. Six months post-correction, the IXIC has averaged a 16% gain, with 78% of returns positive. When the scale moved higher implicit that period, the mean instrumentality was implicit 23%. Notably, successful 18 of the 23 corrections since 1990, the IXIC ne'er fell into carnivore marketplace territory (-20%) earlier reaching a caller all-time high.
This latest correction has been unusually drawn out, taking 51 trading days to scope the 10% diminution -- the longest agelong among each 24 humanities pullbacks.
Historically, faster corrections (20 days oregon less) thin to nutrient stronger short-term rebounds, averaging a 3.1% summation implicit the adjacent 2 weeks, with 92% of instances positive. Slower corrections, similar the existent one, spot much muted short-term bounces, averaging a 1.3% summation with 60% positivity.
However, implicit longer timeframes, slower pullbacks thin to outperform astatine the one-month and one-year marks, portion faster declines pb to amended three- and six-month returns.
With the IXIC’s longest correction build-up successful history, it remains to beryllium seen whether this drawn-out diminution volition travel its humanities signifier of stronger semipermanent recoveries.