Ricardo Pillai
Sun, June 7, 2026 astatine 4:24 PM CDT 3 min read
Is DUOL a bully banal to buy? We came crossed a bullish thesis on Duolingo, Inc. connected Value & Momentum Portfolio’s Substack. In this article, we volition summarize the bulls’ thesis connected DUOL. Duolingo, Inc.'s stock was trading astatine $106.61 arsenic of May 25th. DUOL’s trailing and guardant P/E were 12.20 and 14.22 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
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Duolingo, Inc. operates arsenic a mobile learning level successful the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. DUOL remains 1 of the strongest user acquisition platforms contempt concerns astir slowing idiosyncratic maturation and rising AI-related costs.
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The institution reported Q1 2026 gross of $292 cardinal alongside an awesome 29% adjusted EBITDA margin, portion maintaining a debt-free equilibrium expanse with much than $1 cardinal successful cash. Daily progressive users accrued 21% year-over-year, a slowdown from the 50% maturation seen successful 2024, but engagement improved meaningfully arsenic users spent much clip connected the level and monetization strengthened crossed planetary markets, peculiarly successful China.
Management is intentionally reducing subscription friction and removing paywalls, sacrificing astir $50 cardinal successful short-term bookings maturation to prosecute a semipermanent people of 100 cardinal DAUs by 2028. While Q2 bookings guidance of 6% maturation created capitalist concerns, the institution inactive expects 10%-12% bookings maturation and 15%-18% gross maturation for the afloat year, supported by expanding AI-driven features, deeper connection courses up to nonrecreational B2 proficiency, and increasing adoption of mathematics and euphony offerings.
AI investments are temporarily pressuring gross margins owed to higher compute costs from features similar Video Call and Explain My Answer, but absorption believes AI-generated contented instauration efficiencies volition fortify the platform’s competitory moat implicit time. With implicit $350 cardinal successful expected yearly escaped currency flow, ascendant marketplace share, beardown retention metrics, and a valuation that has compressed importantly from anterior highs, Duolingo appears positioned arsenic a semipermanent acquisition super-app. The existent weakness successful the banal could connection important upside if idiosyncratic maturation re-accelerates and the level enlargement strategy succeeds.
Previously, we covered a bullish thesis connected Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) by Lorenzo Bastianelli successful May 2025, which highlighted the company’s viral selling success, AI-driven contented expansion, and accelerating subscriber growth. DUOL’s banal terms has depreciated by astir 78.83% since our coverage. Value & Momentum Portfolio shares a akin presumption but emphasizes connected Duolingo’s modulation toward a retention-focused, AI-powered acquisition super-app.

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