Inflation Picked the Worst Possible Day to Come in This Hot

1 hour ago 3

Thornton McEnery

Wed, March 18, 2026 astatine 11:12 AM CDT 2 min read

Inflation Picked the Worst Possible Day to Come successful  This Hot

Inflation Picked the Worst Possible Day to Come successful This Hot - Moby

Wholesale prices surged successful February, jumping 0.7% connected the period erstwhile economists were penciling successful 0.3%, and the shaper terms scale is present moving astatine 3.4% twelvemonth implicit year, its hottest speechmaking since February 2024. Core PPI, which ignores nutrient and energy, sits astatine 3.9%. The Fed targets 2%, and the Fed announces its complaint determination aboriginal today. The timing is, to enactment it charitably, awkward.

Services costs drove overmuch of the problem, rising 0.5% successful a mode that complicates the White House's preferred communicative that tariffs are the ostentation story. Portfolio absorption fees climbed 1% connected the month. Securities brokerage and concern proposal costs jumped 4.2%. Goods prices roseate 1.1%, nutrient was up 2.4%, and caller and adust vegetables soared 48.9%, which astatine this constituent reads little similar a information constituent and much similar a wail of anguish coming from your section farmers market.

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The broader backdrop makes nary of this easier. Oil is trading astir $100 a barrel, up much than 70% twelvemonth to day arsenic U.S. and Israeli strikes connected Iran support vigor markets rattled. None of that shows up successful the February numbers yet, meaning today's people is fundamentally the calm earlier a 2nd tempest the Fed tin already spot coming.

Markets responded predictably. The Dow fell 200 points, Treasury yields climbed, and traders pushed their bets connected the adjacent complaint chopped each the mode to December. The Fed is wide expected to clasp rates astatine 3.5% to 3.75% erstwhile it announces this afternoon, but mightiness present beryllium reasoning astir raising astatine the adjacent meeting. Get acceptable for 1 of the much uncomfortable property conferences Jay Powell has had to beryllium done successful a while… and he’s virtually Jay Powell.

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