Alex Sirois
Tue, May 26, 2026 astatine 8:30 AM CDT 4 min read
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PayPal (PYPL) generated $5.56B successful escaped currency flow, trades astatine 8x trailing, compared to Palantir (PLTR) which trades astatine 154x trailing net with a $328B marketplace headdress contempt generating $2.27B successful escaped currency flow.
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PayPal’s fortress equilibrium expanse and superior returns programme connection asymmetric risk-reward against Palantir’s high-growth aggregate that requires flawless execution to warrant valuation.
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The expert who called NVIDIA successful 2010 conscionable named his apical 10 stocks and PayPal wasn't 1 of them. Get them present FREE.
Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR) is the banal each retail dashboard, each AI thinkpiece, and each wallstreetbets thread cannot halt talking about, and astatine $136.88 a stock with a marketplace headdress supra $328 billion, the assemblage has bully crushed to beryllium excited astir its 70% Q4 gross growth. The valuation, however, leaves nary country for error.
The Palantir communicative is priced for outcomes that person ne'er happened successful bundle history. The banal trades astatine a trailing 154x earnings, a guardant 93x, and a staggering 63x sales. On endeavor worth to EBITDA, the aggregate is 159x. CEO Alex Karp called the institution "an n of 1" with a Rule of 40 people of 127%, and the marketplace has obliged by capitalizing each connection of that pitch. The Reddit footprint confirms what the aggregate implies: PLTR sentiment is concentrated successful wallstreetbets, with 1 viral station during the May rally titled "The marketplace volition virtually ne'er spell down again" drafting much than 9,000 upvotes earlier sentiment collapsed days aboriginal to a bearish speechmaking of 28. That is simply a hype cycle, not a thesis.
Now redirect your attraction to PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL), trading adjacent $44.23 aft a 37.77% diminution implicit the past year. Wall Street has punished the institution for branded-checkout competition. The currency registry has not gotten the memo.
The expert who called NVIDIA successful 2010 conscionable named his apical 10 stocks and PayPal wasn't 1 of them. Get them present FREE.
1. A genuine cash-flow instrumentality astatine a single-digit aggregate
PayPal generated $5.56 cardinal successful escaped currency travel connected $33.17 cardinal of FY25 revenue, with nett income of $5.23 cardinal and non-GAAP EPS of $5.31. Net income roseate 26.19% twelvemonth implicit year. The banal trades astatine a trailing P/E of 8 and a guardant P/E of 8, with EV/EBITDA astatine 5x. Palantir generated $2.27 cardinal successful FY25 escaped currency flow. PayPal generated much than treble that, and the marketplace values it astatine astir 1 eighth of Palantir's capitalization.
2. Capital returns measured successful tens of billions
PayPal repurchased astir 86 cardinal shares for $6.0 cardinal implicit the trailing 12 months, including 23 cardinal shares for $1.5 cardinal successful Q4 alone. Management past initiated the company's first-ever quarterly dividend astatine $0.14 per share, paid March 25, 2026, targeting a 10% payout ratio. Palantir, by contrast, repurchased $74.985 cardinal of banal successful FY25, a rounding mistake against its marketplace headdress and dwarfed by $684 cardinal successful FY25 stock-based compensation.

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