"Big Short" Investor Michael Burry Says Palantir Is Worth Less Than $50 a Share -- Here's Why He's Betting Against It in 2026

5 days ago 13

James Brumley, The Motley Fool

Wed, April 15, 2026 astatine 6:42 AM CDT 6 min read

Artificial quality bundle powerhouse Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) remains 1 of the market's astir polarizing stocks. Although the expert community's statement 12-month terms people of $191.29 stands astir 50% supra the ticker's contiguous price, Michael Burry argues that it's not adjacent worthy $50 per share. That's much than 60% beneath its contiguous price.

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If Burry's sanction rings a bell, it's apt due to the fact that the communicative of his massively profitable stake against subprime mortgages backmost successful the run-up to the fiscal situation was featured successful the 2015 film The Big Short (based connected the 2010 publication of the aforesaid name). His hedge money -- Scion Capital -- dished retired a instrumentality of astir 490% betwixt 2000 and 2008, with astir of that summation materializing successful the last twelvemonth of that period.

While helium nary longer runs a hedge fund, Burry is inactive a precise progressive and precise vocal trader. Just past week, pursuing President Donald Trump's nationalist praise for the capabilities that Palantir's level provides the U.S. military, Burry wrote successful a Substack post, "I present ain the [Palantir] June 17, 2027 Strike Price 50 Puts and the December 18, 2026 Strike Price 100 Puts. I americium not selling these today."

A idiosyncratic   is utilizing a calculator portion    sitting astatine  a desk.

Image source: Getty Images.

"Puts" are option-based bets that a banal oregon scale volition suffer value. If and erstwhile it does, the worth of the enactment rises. In this instance, Burry is betting that Palantir shares volition autumn to beneath $100 by the mediate of December of this year, and beryllium priced beneath $50 by June of adjacent year. He won't needfully request to hold until those dates to fastener successful immoderate profits connected either position, though. He tin merchantability either enactment earlier the aforementioned expiration dates.

Burry goes connected to say, "Trump's station rallied the banal aft the banal had fallen 18% the past 3 days. The banal whitethorn drawback a upwind present ... [but] As mentioned, I proceed to clasp the puts, arsenic I judge the cardinal worth of this institution is good nether $50/share."

His statement holds astatine slightest a small spot of water.

In afloat acknowledgment of however the real-world marketplace often works, sometimes a company's communicative and premise are acold bigger factors successful its stock's terms than its specified concern performance.

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