White House roadmap says Europe may be 'unrecognizable' in 20 years as migration raises doubts about US allies

The White House warns successful a stark caller National Security Strategy that Europe could beryllium "unrecognizable successful 20 years oregon less" owed to wide migration, adding that the demographic displacement raises doubts astir aboriginal U.S. allies connected the continent.

"Should contiguous trends continue, the continent volition beryllium unrecognizable successful 20 years oregon less," the 33-page papers released connected Thursday reads. 

It adds that the "real and much stark prospect" is of "civilizational erasure."

Mass migration has been 1 of Europe’s astir volatile governmental flashpoints implicit the past decade, fueled by repeated waves of immigrants from the Middle East, Africa and South Asia.

TRUMP HIGHLIGHTS FEDERAL LAW GRANTING PRESIDENTIAL POWER TO HALT IMMIGRATION AS CRACKDOWN ESCALATES

A tiny vessel heads disconnected into the English Channel aft picking up migrants astatine sunrise connected July 2, 2025, successful Gravelines, France. (Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)

"As such, it is acold from evident whether definite European countries volition person economies and militaries beardown capable to stay reliable allies," the papers says. "Many of these nations are presently doubling down connected their contiguous path. We privation Europe to stay European, to regain its civilizational self-confidence, and to wantonness its failed absorption connected regulatory suffocation."

The nationalist information program cites migration policies that are "transforming the continent and creating strife," on with "cratering birthrates" and the erosion of nationalist identity. 

The White House warns the demographic displacement could person large implications for NATO and European security, noting that respective subordinate states whitethorn go "majority non-European." That scenario, the papers argues, could weaken Europe’s quality to deter adversaries and complicate U.S. efforts to support transatlantic stability.

"Over the agelong term, it is much than plausible that wrong a fewer decades astatine the latest, definite NATO members volition go bulk non-European," the papers says. "As such, it is an unfastened question whether they volition presumption their spot successful the world, oregon their confederation with the United States, successful the aforesaid mode arsenic those who signed the NATO charter."

President Donald Trump sits astatine the Resolute table successful the Oval Office. Trump has been a changeless professional of Europe's migration polices. (Yuri Gripas/Abaca/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

The papers says Europe’s economical diminution is good nether way, losing a 25% stock of planetary GDP successful 1990 to 14% contiguous — "partly owing to nationalist and transnational regulations that undermine creativity and industriousness."

But it says that economical diminution is eclipsed by the broader informing of "civilizational erasure." It lists migration policies, censorship, governmental suppression, cratering birthrates and the nonaccomplishment of nationalist individuality arsenic the forces driving that trajectory.

TRUMP SLAMS EUROPE OVER IMMIGRATION, SAYS ‘HORRIBLE INVASION’ IS KILLING THE CONTINENT

President Donald Trump echoed akin warnings during a sojourn to the United Kingdom past year, saying wide migration would "destroy Europe" and that the continent was "not going to survive" unless governments dramatically changed course.

The White House defended the warning, saying Europe is already suffering the consequences of wide immigration.

"The devastating impacts of unchecked migration and those migrants’ inability to assimilate are not conscionable a interest for President Trump but for Europeans themselves, who person progressively noted migration arsenic 1 of their top concerns," White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said successful a connection to Fox News Digital. "These unfastened borderline policies person led to wide examples of violence, spikes successful crime, and more, with detrimental impacts connected the fiscal sustainability of societal information nett programs."

Kelly said Trump’s borderline policies "saved America from specified destruction," adding that "other countries would beryllium omniscient to travel suit."

The White House pointed to a scope of European information to enactment the administration’s concerns, citing studies showing asylum migration costing the Netherlands €475,000 per migrant, amerciable migration costing France €1.8 cardinal successful 2023 and non-Western migrants committing disproportionate shares of convulsive transgression successful Denmark and Germany. The White House besides referenced a bid of fatal panic attacks crossed the continent carried retired by migrants. 

The 33-page blueprint has nary named writer but features a foreword by Trump, who calls the papers a "roadmap to guarantee America remains the top and astir palmy federation successful quality history."

The papers forms portion of a sweeping acceptable of nationalist information goals successful which the president vows to enforce the Monroe Doctrine portion adding his ain corollary aimed astatine expanding U.S. power successful the Western Hemisphere and countering adversaries’ increasing footprint.

The Trump medication asserts that a "reasonably stable" Western Hemisphere wherever governments enactment unneurotic to combat malign overseas power is cardinal to U.S. nationalist security. To execute this, the medication vows successful the papers to "assert and enforce a 'Trump Corollary' to the Monroe Doctrine."

Former President James Monroe issued the doctrine successful his seventh yearly code to Congress connected Dec. 2, 1823, informing European powers against interfering successful the Western Hemisphere done governmental power oregon colonization. The U.S. Office of the Historian, portion of the State Department, notes that though European nations initially paid small attraction to Monroe’s declaration, it yet became "a longstanding tenet of U.S. overseas policy."

Migrants aboard a sportfishing vessel get astatine the larboard of Catania successful Italy successful 2023.  (Fabrizio Villa/Getty Images)

"After years of neglect, the United States volition reassert and enforce the Monroe Doctrine to reconstruct American preeminence successful the Western Hemisphere, and to support our homeland and our entree to cardinal geographies passim the region," the papers reads.

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"This 'Trump Corollary' to the Monroe Doctrine is simply a common-sense and potent restoration of American powerfulness and priorities, accordant with American information interests."

Fox News’ Rachel Wolf contributed to this report.