Is Vertiv Stock a Buy Right Now?

2 hours ago 1

Lee Samaha, The Motley Fool

Tue, March 3, 2026 astatine 7:35 AM CST 4 min read

The artificial quality (AI) information halfway investing taxable has been connected occurrence implicit the past year. That said, valuations inactive matter, and investors request to see what they are buying erstwhile they put successful information halfway infrastructure companies similar Vertiv (NYSE: VRT).

I past discussed the information halfway powerfulness and thermal absorption exertion stock successful mid-January, and it is up 52% since then, up 62% successful 2026, and up 185% implicit the past year. Its singular show consistently exceeds expectations for gross and, importantly, bid growth.

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The letters AI connected  a colorful tech background.

Image source: Getty Images.

The bid maturation continues to make a monolithic summation successful backlog (as shown below), and fixed the caller superior spending commitments made by hyperscalers similar Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft, it's understandable if investors commencement penciling successful much maturation implicit the mean term.

Vertiv Backlog.

Data source: Vertiv presentations. Chart by author.

Wall Street has already started upgrading estimates, with the statement (shown below) for 2026 matching Vertiv management's caller estimation of $2.1 cardinal to $2.3 cardinal successful escaped currency travel (FCF).

Here is simply a truncated discounted currency travel investigation reverse-engineered to find the terminal maturation complaint required to warrant the existent endeavor worth of $100 billion. I've utilized Wall Street statement FCF to 2028, and assumed 14% and 15% maturation (g) successful enactment with marketplace expectations for information halfway spending, rising from $1 trillion successful 2026 to $1.7 trillion successful 2020. I've utilized a weighted mean outgo of superior (WACC) of 9%, which is successful enactment with an concern exertion company.

Metric

2026 Est.

2027 Est.

2028 Est.

2029 Est.

2030 Est.

Free currency flow

$2.287 billion

$2.669 billion

$3.543 billion

$4.048 billion

$4.648 billion

Discount factor

0.92

0.84

0.77

0.71

0.65

Present value

$2.098 billion

$2.246 billion

$2.736 billion

$2.868 billion

$3.021 billion

Sum of contiguous worth for the adjacent 5 years

$12.97 million

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Data sources: Author's analysis, marketscreener.com

Taking the existent $100 cardinal valuation and subtracting the contiguous worth of the adjacent 5 years' FCF of $12.97 cardinal yields a required contiguous worth of $87 billion. This gives a terminal worth (TV) of $87 cardinal × (1.09)^5 = $134 billion.

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